ozpollster.com - About Election Analysis

Reporting and forecasting for Australian Federal Elections


This site, intended to make the data provided by the Australian Electoral Commission easier to access and interpret, was created by retired IBM IT specialist Howard Houliston, who now does volunteer IT work for the charity Pyrmont Cares and for the Jessie Street National Women's Library as well as doing statistical analysis for the Garvan Institute of Medical Research.

Pic of Howard

Forecast election results are essentially derived by applying swings to each individual polling place and aggregating the results.

If you would like to give feedback or report a problem, please use the contact form

The current version of Election Analysis is 1.01

Bug fixes, algorithm revisions and other changes are listed below

  • 2024-08-15 Version 1.00 - initial version
  • 2025-11-30 Version 1.01 - updated for the 2025 election and PHP version 8.4